Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.000105 0.000111 0.000118 0.000125 0.000133 0.000141 0.000151
2024-12-29 0.000097 0.000106 0.000115 0.000127 0.000141 0.000156 0.000176
2025-01-05 0.000089 0.000099 0.000110 0.000124 0.000141 0.000162 0.000189
2025-01-12 0.000082 0.000092 0.000104 0.000120 0.000139 0.000163 0.000196
2025-01-19 0.000077 0.000087 0.000100 0.000116 0.000137 0.000164 0.000203
2025-01-26 0.000071 0.000082 0.000094 0.000111 0.000132 0.000161 0.000203
2025-02-02 0.000069 0.000080 0.000094 0.000111 0.000136 0.000168 0.000219
2025-02-09 0.000068 0.000080 0.000094 0.000114 0.000141 0.000179 0.000241
2025-02-16 0.000067 0.000079 0.000094 0.000116 0.000146 0.000190 0.000264
2025-02-23 0.000068 0.000081 0.000098 0.000122 0.000157 0.000211 0.000308
2025-03-02 0.000065 0.000078 0.000094 0.000118 0.000154 0.000209 0.000311
2025-03-09 0.000063 0.000075 0.000092 0.000116 0.000153 0.000210 0.000319
2025-03-16 0.000061 0.000074 0.000091 0.000116 0.000155 0.000218 0.000345
2025-03-23 0.000060 0.000073 0.000091 0.000118 0.000161 0.000233 0.000389
2025-03-30 0.000058 0.000071 0.000088 0.000115 0.000159 0.000235 0.000404
2025-04-06 0.000055 0.000068 0.000085 0.000111 0.000155 0.000231 0.000404
2025-04-13 0.000053 0.000065 0.000082 0.000108 0.000152 0.000229 0.000410
2025-04-20 0.000050 0.000062 0.000078 0.000103 0.000145 0.000220 0.000399
2025-04-27 0.000049 0.000061 0.000078 0.000104 0.000148 0.000230 0.000436
2025-05-04 0.000049 0.000061 0.000078 0.000106 0.000154 0.000245 0.000493
2025-05-11 0.000049 0.000061 0.000079 0.000108 0.000159 0.000261 0.000560
2025-05-18 0.000049 0.000063 0.000082 0.000113 0.000172 0.000296 0.000708
2025-05-25 0.000048 0.000061 0.000079 0.000110 0.000168 0.000291 0.000710